Intrade beats Zogby in predicting McCain as the Florida winner

on election eve. It turns out that Zogby was calling a statistical dead heat between McCain and Romney, given it's stated standard error rate, so Intrade wins this round.

Also, after these 9 head-to-head contests, the average Intrade election eve predicted winner percentage is 65%. My hypothesis that Intrade's winning percentage will converge with it's average election eve percentage.

Standings
Wins	Losses	Ties	Pct	Contender
3	2	4	0.556	Intrade
2	3	4	0.444	Zogby

Schedule
Score	Date		State	Party	Intrade	Zogby	Winner
3-2-4	29-Jan		FL	Rep	McCain	2-way-tie	McCain
2-2-4	26-Jan		SC	Dem	Obama	Obama	Obama
2-2-3	19-Jan		SC	Rep	McCain	McCain	McCain
2-2-2	19-Jan		NV	Dem	Obama	Clinton	Clinton
2-1-2	15-Jan		MI	Rep	McCain	2-way tie	Romney
2-0-2	8-Jan		NH	Dem	Obama	Obama	Clinton
2-0-1	8-Jan		NH	Rep	McCain	McCain	McCain
2-0-0	3-Jan		IA	Dem	Obama	3-way tie	Obama
1-0-0	3-Jan		IA	Rep	Huckabee	2-way tie	Huckabee