The Michigan GOP Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

Intrade		Zobgy		Candidate
54%		27%		McCain
44%		24%		Romney
		15%		Huckabee
		8%		Paul
0%		6%		Giuliani
0%		5%		Thompson
		<1%		Hunter
		7%		Someone else
		9%		Undecided
4%				FIELD

The Zogby data is here. The Intrade snapshot was taken at 3pm EST today.

According to Zogby, the epsilon is +/- 3.4%, so Zogby is showing a statistical dead heat. If McCain wins, then the contest will be called for Intrade. If either Romney, Huckabee, Paul, Giuliani or Thompson win, the contest will be called for Zogby. If any other candidate wins, a draw will be called.