Bryan Caplan raises a different ratio from payers-to-collectors: Workers-to-Dependents, which is actually rising from 1.05 in the Sixties to 1.27 in 2030.
The decrease of children is offset by the increase of women in the workforce.
UPDATE: Bryan has provided a nice graph in a subsequent post:
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcL1E-7su12aC8iaO-f_VdNzfEjXpcqewTEYtguoYXE59GujgaPmh6sYqQ-vSCX5nY0111nWReQpkkH48CiybJ5SawE5giP0kqert09jvmCO1QoGynnCd_jvXe1ZFfvCcNqptz/s400/workers.jpg)
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