Why, we were just talking about this yesterday!
UPDATE: 4th Quarter GDP was reported out at 0.6%. The Intrade recession contract will only expire at 100 with 2 successive negative quarterly GDP numbers, and they are the final numbers (not the first two numbers reported). While there is a chance that 4Q could revised below zero, the buyers of this recession contract must be a little disappointed (unless, like me, they sold higher):
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizvJ4IoLAuyOkjH-MwnCr_PoA4xw-Dpz-PmeF3M02xdl67iOjVC8hgb4WCHT5mbRRtGRYuJfXfm0wxUpU5nksO6s1rHWzGvz2UuDqae03z9tx3LAd_Tx5giiSbou9pVixU3Abh/s400/recession.080130.png)
DISCLOSURE: I am short US.RECESSION.08
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