| Intrade | Zogby | Candidate | ||
| 51% | 33% | McCain | ||
| 46% | 30% | Romney | ||
| 3% | 14% | Giuliani | ||
| 11% | Huckabee | |||
| 2% | Paul | |||
| 3% | Someone else | |||
| 8% | Not Sure | |||
| 0% | FIELD |
If McCain (agreed winner) or Paul (within Zogby error) wins, the contest will end in a draw. If Romney wins, Intrade will take the contest. If any other candidate wins, Zogby will take the contest.
UPDATE: It turns out that Zogby was calling a statistical dead heat between McCain and Romney, given it's stated standard error rate, so Intrade wins this round.
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