Originally from the pit at Tradesports(TM) (RIP 2008) ... on trading, risk, economics, politics, policy, sports, culture, entertainment, and whatever else might increase awareness, interest and liquidity of prediction markets
Friday, January 04, 2008
Today's 5.0% unemployment rate report
is a bit worrying. While a 5% unemployment rate is about right in a healthy and dynamic economy, a sustained 6% employment rate is recessionary, in my estimate.
In the last decade, unemployment briefly peaked over 6% in April-Oct, 2003. The record low rate of 3.8%, set back in April 2000, was part of this problem.
DISCLOSURE: I am still short a few of these, but not too many:
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