Friday, January 25, 2008

The Democrat SC Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

Intrade
Zogby
Candidate





90%
38%
Obama
8%
25%
Clinton
1%
21%
Edwards


1%
Kucinich


1%
Gravel


5%
Someone else


7%
Not sure
0%


FIELD

If Clinton or Edwards wins, Zogby will be declared the winner. If any other candidate wins, the contest will be called as a draw. The Intrade snapshot was taken at 2:20pm today.

For each contest:
1. Look at the highest value Intrade contract and the highest Zogby poll (beyond error rate) to determine each source's predicted winner of a state contest

2. If neither Intrade nor Zogby predicts the winner, the candidate with the higher value between Intrade and Zogby (beyond the Zogby error rate) will win that contest.