Intrade | Zogby | Candidate | ||
90% | 38% | Obama | ||
8% | 25% | Clinton | ||
1% | 21% | Edwards | ||
1% | Kucinich | |||
1% | Gravel | |||
5% | Someone else | |||
7% | Not sure | |||
0% | FIELD |
If Clinton or Edwards wins, Zogby will be declared the winner. If any other candidate wins, the contest will be called as a draw. The Intrade snapshot was taken at 2:20pm today.
For each contest:
1. Look at the highest value Intrade contract and the highest Zogby poll (beyond error rate) to determine each source's predicted winner of a state contest
2. If neither Intrade nor Zogby predicts the winner, the candidate with the higher value between Intrade and Zogby (beyond the Zogby error rate) will win that contest.
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