Monday, February 04, 2008

Super Tuesday Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

Zogby poll numbers here. Intrade snapshots taken at 1pm. Here are the notable divergences between the pollster and the prediction market:
NJ Dem: Intrade calling for Clinton, while Zogby in a tie.

CA Rep: Intrade calling for McCain, while Zogby calling for Romney.
Intrade
Zogby
NJ Rep
96%
52%
McCain
3%
26%
Romney


7%
Huckabee


4%
Paul
0%


Giuliani
0%


Thompson
0%


Gingrich


3%
Someone else


9%
Undecided
0%


FIELD









NJ Dem
67%
43%
Clinton
33%
43%
Obama


1%
Gravel
0%


Edwards
0%


Gore
0%


Richardson
0%


Dodd


3%
Someone else


10%
Undecided
0%


FIELD









NY Rep
98%
53%
McCain
1%
19%
Romney
0%
8%
Huckabee


5%
Paul


5%
Someone else


10%
Undecided
0%


FIELD









GA Dem
96%
48%
Obama
4%
31%
Clinton


2%
Gravel


10%
Someone else


11%
Undecided
0%


FIELD









MO Dem
63%
47%
Obama
37%
42%
Clinton


0%
Gravel


3%
Someone else


9%
Undecided
0%


FIELD









CA Rep
44%
40%
Romney
56%
32%
McCain


12%
Huckabee


5%
Paul
0%


Giuliani
0%


Thompson
0%


Gingrich


4%
Someone else


8%
Undecided
1%


FIELD









CA Dem
52%
46%
Obama
48%
40%
Clinton


0%
Gravel
0%


Edwards
0%


Gore
0%


Richardson
0%


Dodd


5%
Someone else


9%
Undecided
0%


FIELD

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