Friday, October 05, 2007

World Series bayesians steady

From late this morning, conditional probabilities derived from Tradesports mid-market prices:

69% YANKEES
63% REDSOX
62% ANGELS
59% INDIANS
37% ROCKIES
37% CUBS
36% PHILLIES
34% DIAMONDBACKS

Last week, it looked like this (also following the link is an explanation of the probability calculation):
68.1% New York Yankees
62.6% Boston Red Sox
61.7% Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
61.1% Cleveland Indians
41.2% Chicago Cubs
40.9% Arizona Diamondbacks
40.5% Colorado Rockies
39.6% Philadelphia Phillies

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