Thursday, October 07, 2010

Intrade futures pricing predicting a gain of 49 congressional seats in the midterm election

This is up 3 seats, from 46 seats a month ago.

I used the midprice of 69 on the 45+ seats contract and the midprice of 47 on the 50+ contract. Essentially unchanged, given the lack of liquidity in the 50+ contracts.

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