Wednesday, November 03, 2010

House GOP seat predictions, midnight update

Five Thirty Eight is at 245, and Intrade at 243, the first time I've seen Nate Silver predict more seats than Intrade contract traders.

This is a move up of 13 seats by Five Thirty Eight and a move of 5 seats by Intrade since yesterday.

I am calling Intrade the winner. And going to bed. Congrats, prediction markets!

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