Originally from the pit at Tradesports(TM) (RIP 2008) ... on trading, risk, economics, politics, policy, sports, culture, entertainment, and whatever else might increase awareness, interest and liquidity of prediction markets
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Intrade futures pricing predicting a gain of 49 congressional seats in the midterm election
I used the midprice of 69 on the 45+ seats contract and the midprice of 47 on the 50+ contract. Essentially unchanged, given the lack of liquidity in the 50+ contracts.
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