Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday

Both the prediction market and the pollster called 5 of the 7 head-to-head contest winners, so it was mostly ties between them. But in the NJ Democratic primary and the California Republican primary, Intrade contracts pointed to the winner on election eve, while Zogby indicated a tie in NJ and Romney in California.

Standings
Wins	Losses	Ties	Pct	Contender	Avg Eve Prob
5	2	9	59.4%	Intrade	69.6%
2	5	9	40.6%	Zogby	39.2%

Schedule
Score	Date		State	Party	Intrade	Zogby	Winner		Intrade Pct	Zogby Pct
5-2-9	5-Feb		NJ	Rep	McCain	McCain	McCain		96%	52%
5-2-8	5-Feb		NJ	Dem	Clinton	2-way-tie	Clinton		67%	43%
4-2-8	5-Feb		NY	Rep	McCain	McCain	McCain		98%	53%
4-2-7	5-Feb		GA	Dem	Obama	Obama	Obama		96%	48%
4-2-6	5-Feb		MO	Dem	Obama	Obama	Obama		63%	47%
4-2-5	5-Feb		CA	Rep	McCain	Romney	McCain		56%	40%
3-2-5	5-Feb		CA	Dem	Obama	Obama	Clinton		52%	46%

Election eve predictions here.