Both make sense to me, but I suggest trading around Fred and holding the other to expiry. (I'm long some Thompson from way back but took most of my profits, and I've been selling Recession.08 regularly).
UPDATE:
Russell Roberts agrees on selling Fred.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjNypIQaX0h3jev2m8txW-qT7l8iTfSr3PJr1e4o7kr-JfkwTLmkpxUC9-iqAhQ-cZ2xV-m73a5sCEImcYNvuZHaKwI9hCVl2sUCv85bgiiv6RHjtSnueDF80FuIBOXk0mz-mAb/s400/recession.071011.png)
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