The Intrade contract has appreciated 600% in the last 4 months, but even though Hillary leads the pack, she is currently pricing around a 1-in-6 chance.
I think that Obama should seriously think about choosing her, as much as she annoys him. It will force a lot of the people who support her to vote for him; otherwise, quite a few of them will end up staying home, or pulling for McCain or Nader. I think JFK and LBJ probably disliked each other even more, so maybe they can both suck it up. McCain is well behind, but could come on strong once they start debating. Obama will win on style, but then again, Gore had that advantage over Dubya, too.
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