Wednesday, April 22, 2009

NFL draft value chart

With the NFL draft weekend coming up, I thought this may be of interest to some. Bill Belichick referred to it here, in speaking about how teams model relative pick values and trade them.

The left column for each round is the pick number; the right column the number of points. It shows that, for instance, the first pick of the first round is worth about 5 times as much as the first pick of the second round.

Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Round 7
1
3,000
33
580
65
265
97
112
129
43
161
27
193
14.2
2
2,600
34
560
66
260
98
108
130
42
162
26.6
194
13.8
3
2,200
35
550
67
255
99
104
131
41
163
26.2
195
13.4


UPDATE: Stephen Dubner just posted on how the top NFL draft pick is overvalued. I think that is a bit imprecise. I would counter that it's the rookie pay scale, especially for the first 10 or 15 picks in the draft.

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