Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Superbowl Bayesians

80% PATRIOTS
67% JAGUARS
64% STEELERS
63% COLTS
44% CHARGERS
31% GIANTS
26% VIKINGS
25% BUCCANEERS
24% COWBOYS
23% PACKERS
21% SEAHAWKS

at 1pm today, calculated off of Tradesports Conference and Superbowl contracts.

These are the probabilities of each team winning the Superbowl, conditioned on that team's probability of winning it's conference. The eight possible playoff teams without a Superbowl bid excluded from the calculation.

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