predicts
some of the same players in the Mitchell Report (via
Tyler Cowen), listed by descending "standard errors":
Barry Bonds
Mark McGwire
Rafael Palmiero
Sammy Sosa
Larry Walker
Ken Caminiti
Those in Fair's paper, but not named in the
Mitchell Report (listed alphabetically, after Luis Gonzalez, who Fair found had one of the largest standard errors):
Luis Gonzalez
Albert Belle
Chili Davis
Dwight Evans
Julio Franco
Gary Gaetti
Andres Gallaraga
Paul Molitor
The entire paper can be found
here. A final note from Fair:
Even star players like Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Rogers Hornsby, and Lou Gehrig do not show systematic patterns. In this sense the model works well, with only a few key exceptions.
No comments:
Post a Comment