Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Prediction markets in U.N. estimates accuracy?

Anyone, anyone? Bryan Caplan is way ahead of the curve.

This stuff does matter. For example, if a million kids in Africa are dying every year of disease, it helps to know which diseases, and in what proportions. Otherwise, there is a big mismatch (and missed opportunity to save lives) between fundraising priorities v. the biggest threats.

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