Monday, January 08, 2007

Latest conditional probabilities for NFL playoff teams

As of noontime Mon Dec 8, the remaining 8 teams' bayesian probabilities looked like this:

71% NFL.COLTS
70% NFL.PATRIOTS
67% NFL.CHARGERS
62% NFL.RAVENS
43% NFL.SEAHAWKS
41% NFL.EAGLES
35% NFL.SAINTS
32% NFL.BEARS

I have included last week's probabilities as well. Note that this past weekend's winners' chances all increased, along with the Ravens. The other bye week teams' chances all decreased.

As of 1230pm Thu Dec 4 2007, here's what p (A | B) looked like:

67% NFL.RAVENS
65% NFL.CHARGERS
64% NFL.PATRIOTS
62% NFL.COLTS
56% NFL.CHIEFS
41% NFL.COWBOYS
41% NFL.SEAHAWKS
40% NFL.GIANTS
39% NFL.EAGLES
38% NFL.SAINTS
36% NFL.BEARS
28% NFL.JETS

The original post can be found here.

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