Wednesday, January 12, 2011

The 2010 Global Warming Exchange question has been closed

here.  (See above right as well, for quotes and link).

2010 was a warm year, despite record snow and ice in highly populated areas.  Here is the message I provided on the expiry:

The NASA GISS GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2010 averaged out to 0.6325 Celsius above baseline. The winning prediction is 'greater than 0.6 Celsius (>0.6)'. Congrats to the winners, and to all participants for nudging closer to the truth.

I will list the 2011 question shortly.  Many thanks to Inkling Markets for their generous hospitality.

No comments:

Post a Comment