Originally from the pit at Tradesports(TM) (RIP 2008) ... on trading, risk, economics, politics, policy, sports, culture, entertainment, and whatever else might increase awareness, interest and liquidity of prediction markets
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
The race for the White House tightens
even further, with Ohio and Colorado now anybody's game. Previous map here.
Vote predictions derived from Intrade contracts.
Another anecdote bearing out the futility in Chris Masse's trading strategy--he would have bought Obama on July 1 when the Democrat had 306 projected votes, instead of the 264 he has now.
Democrat: 264 [-29]
Republican: 227
Dead Heat: 47 [+29]
Total: 538 (270 to win)
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