Originally from the pit at Tradesports(TM) (RIP 2008) ... on trading, risk, economics, politics, policy, sports, culture, entertainment, and whatever else might increase awareness, interest and liquidity of prediction markets
Monday, April 30, 2007
Tony Soprano, poster child for fast burn gamblers
Last night's new episode was called "Chasing It", and displayed Tony's seemingly out-of-control gambling penchant, which coincided with stress with his spouse, his financer, and ultimately in someone's death (don't want to spoil it).
I can't find an early post of mine, which advised folks here not to risk more than 4% of their allocated assets on any single event or contract series. If Tony only had read it. Sorry I can't find the link, but hopefully you've learned something from this.
As a risk manager (as opposed to a noise trader, speculator, or gambler), I don't mind taking other people's money, as they might be a little more irrational about risk than I am. But it doesn't serve the longterm liquidity of these prediction markets well to have people lose their money and interest forever. So remember, keep each play to 4% or less. The more you are a proven winner (a track record of profits doesn't lie), the more you can put at risk.
Race of the tortoise, baby.
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